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Social contacts of school children and the transmission of respiratory-spread pathogens

机译:小学生的社会交往和呼吸道病原体的传播

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摘要

Empirical data about contact frequencies of children is needed for estimating parameters in mathematical modelling studies that investigate the effect of targeting influenza intervention to children. A survey about the social contacts of school children was conducted in a primary school in Germany. The distribution of the daily numbers of contacts was stratified by age of the contacted person and by weekday. A negative binomial regression analysis was performed to investigate factors that influence contact behaviour. Using logistic regression analysis we examined the relationship between the numbers of private contacts and having been ill in the last 6 months. We computed effective contact numbers to take the heterogeneity in contact behaviour into account in assessing the contribution of children's contacts to the overall transmission of an infection. The possible effects of intervention measures such as school closure and vaccination on the transmission of respiratory-spread agents to other age groups are discussed.
机译:在估计对儿童进行流感干预的效果的数学模型研究中,需要使用有关儿童接触频率的经验数据来估计参数。在德国的一所小学进行了关于小学生的社会交往的调查。每天接触人数的分布按接触者的年龄和工作日进行分层。进行了负二项式回归分析以研究影响接触行为的因素。使用逻辑回归分析,我们检查了私人联系人数量与最近6个月内患病之间的关系。我们计算了有效的接触数,以在评估儿童接触对感染总体传播的影响时考虑到接触行为的异质性。讨论了诸如学校停课和接种疫苗等干预措施对呼吸传播剂向其他年龄段的传播的可能影响。

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